Tesla shares jumped 1.7% to $454.48 Thursday, marking the first close above $450 in a month. The rally was fueled by growing optimism around Tesla’s humanoid robot, Optimus, which is set to debut in 2026.
Analysts predict the robot could generate between $31 billion and $400 billion in revenue, depending on adoption and timeline.
Wall Street analysts have assigned high valuations to Tesla’s robot business, projecting an additional $111 to $640 per share in value. Barclays and RBC highlighted potential federal support for robotics, with some forecasts valuing the robot segment at over one-third of Tesla’s total market cap.
Elon Musk’s trillion-dollar compensation package includes a milestone of selling one million robots by 2035. Analysts believe this goal is achievable if adoption rates match current projections, though no commercial units are yet available for sale. Pricing, cost, and demand data remain speculative as Tesla has not released details for investors.
Tesla also launched the budget Model 3 Standard in Europe at €37,970 to compete with cheaper electric vehicles from Chinese and European rivals. The U.S. version costs $36,990, and Tesla has also introduced a budget Model Y in Europe to counter increasing competition. The move signals a strategy to maintain market share as rivals flood the market with affordable EVs.
Tesla’s stock was up 0.22% in Friday premarket trading at $455.32, reflecting continued investor enthusiasm for both robotics and EVs. However, analysts warn that much of the robot business value remains highly speculative until the technology and demand materialise.
